Eva Guerrero Alvarez vs Brooke Black Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When examining second serve points won over the last six months, Black leads Alvarez 45.73% to 38.94%. This statistic is closely related to match predictions.
• In return games, Black has a slight edge, winning 49.75% of second serve returns compared to Alvarez's 46.84%. However, Alvarez marginally outperforms on first serve returns with 34.57% against Black’s 34.03%.
• Under pressure, Black saves slightly more breakpoints with a 51.56% success rate, compared to Alvarez's 49.83%. Could this give Black an advantage in crucial moments?
• In the past year, Alvarez boasts a better overall win rate of 61.67%, whereas Black holds a 54.55% win rate.
• Both players perform best on hard courts, with Alvarez having a superior win percentage of 68% compared to Black's 46%.
• In similar tournament levels, Black narrowly leads in win percentage, showing a 54.55% success rate, slightly above Alvarez’s 52.17%.
• Regarding opponent quality, Alvarez has faced slightly higher-ranked players, with an average opponent rank of 400.82, compared to Black’s 412.09.
• Alvarez excels in deciding set scenarios, winning 67% of such matches, outperforming Black's 62% success rate.
• Break point conversion reflects a competitive edge for Black, who capitalizes on 41.51% of opportunities as opposed to Alvarez's 40.13%.

Editorial Prediction (May 9, 2025, UTC):

In this upcoming match, several statistics highlight key differences between Alvarez and Black's recent performances. Black's stronger showing in second serve points and break point conversion indicates a potential advantage in maintaining serve under pressure.

While Alvarez maintains a better overall win rate and a higher winning percentage on favored surfaces, Black's marginally better return game and breakpoint saving abilities may play crucial roles in tightly contested points.

Additionally, Alvarez demonstrates resilience in three-set matches, complementing his experienced play against slightly higher-ranked opponents.

Considering these factors and the current form displayed by both players, Black holds a slight edge going into this match, making him the most likely winner.